The National Broadband Network Brownfields Debate - Valuing FTTN and FTTP.
Main Article Content
Keywords
Value, NBN, FTTN, FTTP
Abstract
This paper analyses the value of FTTN and FTTP along financial and non-financial dimensions. It reports on an open, public, dynamic ‘value model’ of FTTN and FTTP, and showcases two visual tools to enable assessment of their multiple, competing, emerging and slippery ‘value dimensions’. The paper reports and compares empirically-derived FTTN and FTTP value dimensions from recent Ministerial Speeches at CommsDay Summit 2016 and Government expert reports with the value model.
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References
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ABC. 2015. ‘Malcolm Turnbull talks innovation, NBN, company tax, Mal Brough with Leigh Sales’. 7 December 2015. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2015/s4367704.htm.
CIA. 2016. The World Factbook. [Internet]. Accessed 10 June 2016. Available from: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/resources/the-world-factbook/.
Clare, J. 2016. CommsDay Summit 2016. Speech. ‘From Sonny Bill Williams to the Fonz - How Malcolm Turnbull made a mess of the NBN’. [Internet]. Available from at: http://www.jasonclare.com.au/media/speeches/2958-speech-from-sonny-bill-williams-to-the-fonz-how-malcolm-turnbull-made-a-mess-of-the-nbn-commsday-summit-sydney-.
Crown Fibre Holdings Limited. 2016. ‘Where and When is UFB being delivered?’ [Internet]. Available from: http://www.crownfibre.govt.nz/getting-ufb/rollout-timetable/.
Ferrers, R; Best, B; Abercrombie, P; Regetz, J. 2016. ‘Value Flower; a multi-dimensional dynamic value analysis tool’. [Internet]. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.3425663.v1.
Ferrers, R. 2013. ‘A Consumer Value Theory of Innovation in 3G Mobile Phones: a Grounded Theory Approach’. PhD Thesis. [Internet]. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.680002.
Ferrers, R. 2015. ‘FTTP vs FTTN; When is spending $4400 better value than spending $2100?’ [Internet]. Available from: http://www.valman.blogspot.com.au/2015/12/fttp-vs-fttn-when-is-spending-4400.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016. ‘FTTN vs FTTP 6: the graphical version’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.valman.blogspot.com.au/2016/02/fttn-vs-fttp-6-graphical-version.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016A: ‘Comparing FTTP and FTTN costs for NBN Australia’. Figshare. [Internet]. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.2008689.v8.
Ferrers, R. 2016B. ‘FTTN FTTP Heat Map’. [Internet]. Available from: http://areff2000.github.io/2016/02/05/fttn-fttp-heat-map.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016C. ‘Comparison of FTTN FTTP on multiple dimensions’. Radar Plot. [Internet]. Available from: https://github.com/areff2000/d3-bubble-plot/tree/gh-pages/radarPlot. Active version at: http://areff2000.github.io/2016/05/15/valuing-fttn-fttp-radar-map-comparison.html View source for data.
Ferrers, R. 2016D. ‘Valuing FTTN FTTP - Aster Plot - multidimensional and weighted’. [Internet]. Available from: http://areff2000.github.io/2016/05/16/valuing-fttn-fttp-aster-plot-multidimensional-and-weighted.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016E. ‘Valuing FTTN and FTTP; NBN Australia 2016’. Online Survey. [Internet]. Available from: https://t.co/dOCtl4b87D.
Ferrers, R. 2016F. ‘FTTN vs FTTP (5): cheaper now or faster later; a clash of assumptions’. Table 2, 4. [Internet]. Available from: http://valman.blogspot.com.au/2016/01/fttn-vs-fttp-5-cheaper-now-or-faster.html Data at: https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.2008689.v8.
Fifield, M. 2016. ‘CommsDay Summit 2016’. Speech. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.mitchfifield.com/Media/Speeches/tabid/71/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/1136/SPEECH--CommsDay-Summit-2016.aspx.
Gilder, G. 1993. ‘The Death of Telephony’. Economist, 11-17 Sept, 1993, [Internet]. Available from: http://web.archive.org/web/20070830094652/http://thejoie.com.au/gilder.htm.
Gregory, M. 2014. ‘Why the NBN's cost-benefit analysis is flawed on arrival’. [Internet]. Available from: https://web.archive.org/web/20151111121046/http://www.businessspectator.com.au/article/2014/9/18/technology/why-nbns-cost-benefit-analysis-flawed-arrival.
Johnston, R. 2016. ‘NBN Responds to Claims FTTP is better VALUE than FTTN’. Gizmodo. 5 January 2016. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.gizmodo.com.au/2016/01/nbn-responds-to-claims-fttp-is-better-value-than-fttn/.
LeMay, R. 2014. ‘Clare tables NBN petition in Parliament’. Delimiter. 14 February 2014. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2014/02/14/clare-tables-nbn-petition-parliament/.
LeMay, R. 2015. ‘NBN Co may overbuild the Optus HFC cable network it bought for $800 million’. Delimiter. 25 November 2015. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2015/11/25/nbn-co-may-overbuild-the-optus-hfc-cable-network-it-bought-for-800-million/. Data also at: http://bit.ly/1Xd2N84.
LeMay, R. 2015A. ‘NBN Co delays FTTN rollout for further testing’. Delimiter. 24 August 2015. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2015/08/24/nbn-co-delays-fttn-rollout-for-further-testing/.
Liberal Party. 2012. ‘Fast Broadband and an Affordable NBN’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.liberal.org.au/fast-broadband-and-affordable-nbn. Also at: http://apo.org.au/node/33483.
McKinsey & Co. 2010. ‘National Broadband Network Implementation Study’. [Internet]. Available from: http://apo.org.au/node/21219.
NBN. 2016. ‘Corporate Plan 2016’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco2/documents/nbn-corporate-plan-2016.pdf.
OECD 2015. ‘Digital Economy Outlook’. [Internet]. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264232440-en.
OECD. 2015A. ‘World Stats: Digital Economy Outlook’. Figure 2-24. [Internet]. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933224587.
Palmer, D. 2016. ‘“Extraordinary innovation” happening in copper broadband, says Nokia chief’. Delimiter. 8 April 2016. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2016/04/08/extraordinary-innovation-happening-copper-broadband-says-nokia-chief/.
Senate Committee. 2015. ‘The Cost-Benefit Analysis and Review of Regulation’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate/National_Broadband_Network/NBN/Second%20Interim%20Report/c04.
Taylor, J. 2014. “Abbott was unmovable on ‘shocker’ NBN Policy: Oakeshott”. ZDnet. 26 May 2014. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.zdnet.com/article/abbott-was-unmovable-on-shocker-nbn-policy-oakeshott/.
Turnbull, M.; Cormann, M. 2014. [Stakeholder Minister] ‘Government Expectations’. [Internet]. Available from: https://www.communications.gov.au/sites/g/files/net301/f/SOE_Shareholder_Minister_letter.pdf.
Vertigan 2014. ‘Independent cost-benefit analysis of broadband and review of regulation: Volume II – The costs and benefits of high speed broadband’. [Internet]. Available from: https://www.communications.gov.au/departmental-news/independent-cost-benefit-analysis-nbn. See also http://apo.org.au/node/41039. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.4225/50/570B2E5CA7F81.
Whirlpool 2016. ‘Knowledge Base: National Broadband Network 2007 – 2013’. Accessed 10 June 2106. Available from: http://whirlpool.net.au/wiki/NBN.
Wikipedia 2016. ‘Fibre Optic Communication’. [Internet]. Accessed 10 June 2016. Available from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiber-optic_communication.
Wikipedia 2016B. ‘Present Value’. Accessed 10 June 2016. Available from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Present_value.
Wong, P.; Conroy, S. 2010. [Shareholder Minister] ‘Statement of Expectations’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco/documents/statement-of-expectations.pdf.
ABC. 2015. ‘Malcolm Turnbull talks innovation, NBN, company tax, Mal Brough with Leigh Sales’. 7 December 2015. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2015/s4367704.htm.
CIA. 2016. The World Factbook. [Internet]. Accessed 10 June 2016. Available from: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/resources/the-world-factbook/.
Clare, J. 2016. CommsDay Summit 2016. Speech. ‘From Sonny Bill Williams to the Fonz - How Malcolm Turnbull made a mess of the NBN’. [Internet]. Available from at: http://www.jasonclare.com.au/media/speeches/2958-speech-from-sonny-bill-williams-to-the-fonz-how-malcolm-turnbull-made-a-mess-of-the-nbn-commsday-summit-sydney-.
Crown Fibre Holdings Limited. 2016. ‘Where and When is UFB being delivered?’ [Internet]. Available from: http://www.crownfibre.govt.nz/getting-ufb/rollout-timetable/.
Ferrers, R; Best, B; Abercrombie, P; Regetz, J. 2016. ‘Value Flower; a multi-dimensional dynamic value analysis tool’. [Internet]. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.3425663.v1.
Ferrers, R. 2013. ‘A Consumer Value Theory of Innovation in 3G Mobile Phones: a Grounded Theory Approach’. PhD Thesis. [Internet]. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.680002.
Ferrers, R. 2015. ‘FTTP vs FTTN; When is spending $4400 better value than spending $2100?’ [Internet]. Available from: http://www.valman.blogspot.com.au/2015/12/fttp-vs-fttn-when-is-spending-4400.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016. ‘FTTN vs FTTP 6: the graphical version’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.valman.blogspot.com.au/2016/02/fttn-vs-fttp-6-graphical-version.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016A: ‘Comparing FTTP and FTTN costs for NBN Australia’. Figshare. [Internet]. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.2008689.v8.
Ferrers, R. 2016B. ‘FTTN FTTP Heat Map’. [Internet]. Available from: http://areff2000.github.io/2016/02/05/fttn-fttp-heat-map.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016C. ‘Comparison of FTTN FTTP on multiple dimensions’. Radar Plot. [Internet]. Available from: https://github.com/areff2000/d3-bubble-plot/tree/gh-pages/radarPlot. Active version at: http://areff2000.github.io/2016/05/15/valuing-fttn-fttp-radar-map-comparison.html View source for data.
Ferrers, R. 2016D. ‘Valuing FTTN FTTP - Aster Plot - multidimensional and weighted’. [Internet]. Available from: http://areff2000.github.io/2016/05/16/valuing-fttn-fttp-aster-plot-multidimensional-and-weighted.html.
Ferrers, R. 2016E. ‘Valuing FTTN and FTTP; NBN Australia 2016’. Online Survey. [Internet]. Available from: https://t.co/dOCtl4b87D.
Ferrers, R. 2016F. ‘FTTN vs FTTP (5): cheaper now or faster later; a clash of assumptions’. Table 2, 4. [Internet]. Available from: http://valman.blogspot.com.au/2016/01/fttn-vs-fttp-5-cheaper-now-or-faster.html Data at: https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.2008689.v8.
Fifield, M. 2016. ‘CommsDay Summit 2016’. Speech. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.mitchfifield.com/Media/Speeches/tabid/71/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/1136/SPEECH--CommsDay-Summit-2016.aspx.
Gilder, G. 1993. ‘The Death of Telephony’. Economist, 11-17 Sept, 1993, [Internet]. Available from: http://web.archive.org/web/20070830094652/http://thejoie.com.au/gilder.htm.
Gregory, M. 2014. ‘Why the NBN's cost-benefit analysis is flawed on arrival’. [Internet]. Available from: https://web.archive.org/web/20151111121046/http://www.businessspectator.com.au/article/2014/9/18/technology/why-nbns-cost-benefit-analysis-flawed-arrival.
Johnston, R. 2016. ‘NBN Responds to Claims FTTP is better VALUE than FTTN’. Gizmodo. 5 January 2016. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.gizmodo.com.au/2016/01/nbn-responds-to-claims-fttp-is-better-value-than-fttn/.
LeMay, R. 2014. ‘Clare tables NBN petition in Parliament’. Delimiter. 14 February 2014. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2014/02/14/clare-tables-nbn-petition-parliament/.
LeMay, R. 2015. ‘NBN Co may overbuild the Optus HFC cable network it bought for $800 million’. Delimiter. 25 November 2015. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2015/11/25/nbn-co-may-overbuild-the-optus-hfc-cable-network-it-bought-for-800-million/. Data also at: http://bit.ly/1Xd2N84.
LeMay, R. 2015A. ‘NBN Co delays FTTN rollout for further testing’. Delimiter. 24 August 2015. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2015/08/24/nbn-co-delays-fttn-rollout-for-further-testing/.
Liberal Party. 2012. ‘Fast Broadband and an Affordable NBN’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.liberal.org.au/fast-broadband-and-affordable-nbn. Also at: http://apo.org.au/node/33483.
McKinsey & Co. 2010. ‘National Broadband Network Implementation Study’. [Internet]. Available from: http://apo.org.au/node/21219.
NBN. 2016. ‘Corporate Plan 2016’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco2/documents/nbn-corporate-plan-2016.pdf.
OECD 2015. ‘Digital Economy Outlook’. [Internet]. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264232440-en.
OECD. 2015A. ‘World Stats: Digital Economy Outlook’. Figure 2-24. [Internet]. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933224587.
Palmer, D. 2016. ‘“Extraordinary innovation” happening in copper broadband, says Nokia chief’. Delimiter. 8 April 2016. [Internet]. Available from: https://delimiter.com.au/2016/04/08/extraordinary-innovation-happening-copper-broadband-says-nokia-chief/.
Senate Committee. 2015. ‘The Cost-Benefit Analysis and Review of Regulation’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate/National_Broadband_Network/NBN/Second%20Interim%20Report/c04.
Taylor, J. 2014. “Abbott was unmovable on ‘shocker’ NBN Policy: Oakeshott”. ZDnet. 26 May 2014. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.zdnet.com/article/abbott-was-unmovable-on-shocker-nbn-policy-oakeshott/.
Turnbull, M.; Cormann, M. 2014. [Stakeholder Minister] ‘Government Expectations’. [Internet]. Available from: https://www.communications.gov.au/sites/g/files/net301/f/SOE_Shareholder_Minister_letter.pdf.
Vertigan 2014. ‘Independent cost-benefit analysis of broadband and review of regulation: Volume II – The costs and benefits of high speed broadband’. [Internet]. Available from: https://www.communications.gov.au/departmental-news/independent-cost-benefit-analysis-nbn. See also http://apo.org.au/node/41039. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.4225/50/570B2E5CA7F81.
Whirlpool 2016. ‘Knowledge Base: National Broadband Network 2007 – 2013’. Accessed 10 June 2106. Available from: http://whirlpool.net.au/wiki/NBN.
Wikipedia 2016. ‘Fibre Optic Communication’. [Internet]. Accessed 10 June 2016. Available from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiber-optic_communication.
Wikipedia 2016B. ‘Present Value’. Accessed 10 June 2016. Available from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Present_value.
Wong, P.; Conroy, S. 2010. [Shareholder Minister] ‘Statement of Expectations’. [Internet]. Available from: http://www.nbnco.com.au/content/dam/nbnco/documents/statement-of-expectations.pdf.
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Published
Jun 30, 2016
Article Details
How to Cite
Ferrers, R. A. (2016). The National Broadband Network Brownfields Debate - Valuing FTTN and FTTP. Journal of Telecommunications and the Digital Economy, 4(2), 31–65. https://doi.org/10.18080/jtde.v4n2.55
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Section
Telecommunications
Copyright Telecommunications Association Inc.
Author Biography
Richard Anthony Ferrers, Monash University
Richard works as a Research Data Analyst, at Australian National Data Service (ANDS), a joint project led by Monash University, with Australian National University and CSIRO. ANDS, a $100M NCRIS innovation project, encourages Universities to manage, share, reuse and add value to data. Richard also separately pursues Innovation and Value research, as ANDS funding precludes research. Richard has a particular interest in broadband and telecommunications as an area of significant innovation and value creation.
